Samuel Thompson
Billy Rafferty
Colin Gavigan
Bolded indicates projected winner and races bolded
and underlined are tossups
Alabama
1st
District- Bradley Bryne (R)- Raised 451K to 22K. Won
special election with 70% of votes
Burton LeFlore (D)
2nd
District- Martha Roby (R)- Raised 1M to 3K.. 63% of votes in
2012
Erick Wright (D)
3rd
District- Mike Rogers (R)- Raised
900K. Easy win due to alignment.
Jesse Smith (D)
4th
District- Robert Aderholt (R)- He is
unopposed
5th
District- Mark Bray (I)
Mo Brooks (R)- Raised 532K to 24K. Received 64% of
votes in 2012
6th
District- Gary Palmer (R)- Raised 1.5M; heavy republican area.
Mark Lester (D)
7th
District- Terri Sewell (D)- He is unopposed. Been Democratic since
1966.
Alabama Overall- After looking at all the possible
elections in Alabama, our group came to the conclusion that Alabama will swing
Republican. Out of the seven congressional districts, we only have one possible
race where a democrat has potential to win the election.
Alaska
1st
District-
Don Young (R)- Raised
724K, been in office for 40 years.
Forrest Dunbar (D)
Alaska Overall- Alaska only has one congressional
district so the state will swing either in favor of republican or democrat
based off the one election. We came to the conclusion that the Republicans will
gain control of Alaska due to their current presence and the fact that the
current official has been elected for the last 40 years.
Arizona
1st
District- Andy Tobin (R)- analysis below
Ann Fitzpatrick
(D)
2nd
District- Ron Barber (D)- analysis below
Martha McSally (R)
3rd
District- Raul Grijalva (D)- Raised
506K compared to 60K
Gabriela Saucedo Mercer (R)
4th
District- Mikel Weisser (D)
Paul Gosar (R)- raised
455K to 36K. Incumbent relied 66% in 2012.
5th
District- Matt Salmon (R)- Raised 863K to 49K
James
Woods (D)
6th
District-
David Schweikert (R)-
Raised 740K compared to 4K. Easy win.
John Williamson (D)
7th
District- Joe Cobb (L)
Ruben Gallego (D)- Raised 763K.
Favored to win due to funding.
8th
District-
Trent Franks (R)-
Raised 382K and received 63% in 2012
Stephen Dolgos (I)
9th
District-
Kyrsten Sinema (D)-
Raised 3.2M to 1.1M. Close but still will pull it off.
Wendy Rogers (R)
Arizona
Overall-
After looking at all the possible elections in Arizona, our group came to the
conclusion that Arizona will swing Republican. Out of the nine congressional
districts, we only have two races where a democrat has potential to win the
election.
Arkansas
1st
District- Rick
Crawford (R)- Raised 840K to
228K. won in 2012 with 56% of votes.
Jackie McPherson (D)
3rd
District-
Grant Brand (L)
Steve Womack (R)- Faces no major party.
Raised 876K
4th
District-
James Lee Witt (D)
Bruce
Westermen (R)- Favored to win
despite raising less in funds.
Arkansas
Overall-
Arkansas will be swinging republican after the election day. out of all the
congressional races. the Republicans are favored to win it all. Our group
decided that they were the obvious choice in Arkansas and figured that the
republicans would come out victorious.
California
1st District- Doug
Lamalfa (R)- won 57% of the votes his last term in a district where 56%
voted Romney
Heidi Hall (D)
2nd
District- Jared Huffman (D)- after winning the last race by 70% his positions
is secure
Dale Mensing (R)
3rd District- John
Garamendi (D)- incumbent in a district which leans Democrat
Dan Logue (R)
4th District- Tom
McClinton (R)- as the incumbent Republican running against a fellow
Republican he is safe
Art Moore (R)
5th
District- Mike Thompson (D)- unopposed
6th
District- Doris Matsui (D)- in her third term in a district heavy in
Democrats
Joseph McCray, Sr. (R)
7th District- Ami Bera (D)- analysis below
Doug Ose (R)
8th
District- Paul Cook (R)- 58% in primary as comared to challenger’s 18%
Robert Conway (D)
9th
District- Jerry McNerney (D)- Running for fifth term in a left leaning
district
Tony Amador (R)
10th
District- Jeff Denham (R)- he is a lock after a primary against 2 Democrats
where he won 58%
Michael Eggman (D)
11th District- Mark
DeSaulnier (D)- he won’t have trouble running against the only republican
on the ballot
Tue Phan-Quang (R)
12th
District- Nancy Pelosi (D)- as a leading figure in the party her positions is
secured
John Dennis (R)
13rd
District- Barbara Lee (D)- had 86% victory in last race
Dakin Sundeen
14th
District- Jackie Speier (D)- incumbent in hightly Democratic district
Robin Chew (R)
15th District- Eric
Swallwell (D)- in a district whose last runnoff was between 2 democrats
this seat is secure
Hugh Bussell (R)
16th
District- Jim Costa (D)- will edge out a victory due to the Democratic
district
Johnny Tacherra
(R)
17th
District- Mike Honda (D)- incumbent running against fellow Democrat
Ro Khanna (D)
18th
District- Anna Eshoo (D)- the three republicans only got a combined 32.3% in
the primary
Richard Fox (R)
19th
District- Zoe Lofgren (D)- incumbent against fellow Democrat
Brian Murray (D)
20th
District- Sam Farr (D)- unopposed
21st
District- David Valadao (R)-
leading by 5 points as the incumbent
Amanda Renteria
(D)
22nd District- Devin
Nunes (R)-the district has been Republican since 2002 and doesn’t look to
be changing
Suzanna
Aguilera-Marrero (D)
23rd
District- Kevin McCarthy (R)- with 99.1% in primary it is a lock
Raul Garcia (D)
24th
District- Lois Capps (D)- her $2,098,136 compared to his $390,975 will keep
her ahead
Christopher
Mitchum (R)
25th District- Tony
Strickland (R)- while a Republican is guaranteed this victory stricklands
$1,339,658 will keep him ahead
Stephen Night (R)
26th District- Julia Browley (D)- analysis given below
Jeff Gorell (R)
27th
District- Judy Chu (D)- incumbent in democratic district
Jack Orswell (R)
28th
District- Adam Schiff (D)- unopposed
29th
District- Tony Cardenas (D)
William Leader (R)- as the only
republican in the primary William only got 25% making it a loss for him
30th
District- Brad Sherman (D)- incumbent in a largely Democratic district
Mark Reed (R)
31st
District- Pete Aguilar (D)- leading by 8% and is a local mayor
Paul Chabot (R)
32nd District- Grace
Napolitano (D)- facing the same opponent in the general election as the
primary she will again come out on top
Art Atlas (R)
33th District- Ted
Lieu (D)- even with his small margins in the primary the overwhelming
Democratic base will give him the win
Elan Carr
34th
District- Xavier Becerra (D)- incumbent running against another Democrat is a
safe bet
Adrienne Edwards
(D)
35th
District- Norma Torres (D)- in this race with all democrats her 67% in the
primary will stay firm
Christina Gagnier
(D)
36th
District- Paul Ruiz (D)- He is a well-liked incumbent and leads by 5 points
Brian Nestande (R)
37th
District- Karen Bass (D)- with an 86% victory in her first election she is
solid
Adam King (R)
38th
District- Linda Sanchez (D)- she has over a million more in funding
Benjamin Campos
(R)
39th District- Edward
Royce (R)- he has over 3 million in the bank compared to Anderson’s 4
thousand
Peter Anderson (D)
40th District- Lucille
Roybal-Allard (D)- her incumbency should carry her through against a
Democratic challenger
David Sanchez (D)
41st
District- Mark Takano (D)- his incumbency and a democratic district will
carry him through
Steve Adams (R)
42nd
District- Ken Calvert (R)- after a 67% win in the primary he is sealed in
Tim Sheridan
43rd District- Maxine
Waters (D)- in this democratic district she should have no trouble with a
Republican challenger
John Wood Jr. (R)
44th
District- Janice Hahn (D)- unopposed
45th
District- Mimi Walters (R)- winning by 13 points in the primary the general
election is set
Drew Leavens (D)
46th
District- Loretta Sanchez (D)- she is safe due to the slim margin which Adam
won the primary
Adam Nick (R)
47th District- Alan
Lowenthal (D)- incumbent in a
district which leans Democrat
Andrew Whallon (R)
48th
District- Dana Rohrabacher (R)- his incumbency in a Republican district are
enough
Sue Savary (D)
49th
District- Darrell Issa (R)- his 3.5 million dollar pockets hill secure the
race
David Peiser (D)
50th
District- Duncan Hunter (R)- 70% win in primary make him a sure bet
James Kimer (D)
51st
District- Juan Vargas (D)- his 70% victory in 2012 will be repeated
Stephen Meade (R)
52nd District- Carl Demaio (R)- analysis below
Scott Peters (D)
53rd District- Susan
Davis (D)- even with all the primary Republican votes together they could
not land a seat
Larry Wilskie (R)
California Overall- Besides the three races that are labeled as tossups in California, there
is no race that is geared to result in an upset. The urban districts of
Southern California as well as those on the Western edge remain Democratic.
However, the more rural districts found closer to Nevada where a lot of farms
and small towns are have Republican congressman who look to be holding steady
in this election.
Connecticut
1st District-
John B. Larson (D)- Raised 1.6M to 20K.
Matthew Corey (R)
2nd
District- Lori Hopkins-Cavanaugh (R)
Joe Courtney (D)- 1.2M to 86K
3rd
District-
James Brown (R)
Rosa L. DeLauro (D)- 1.1M to 6K
4th District- Jim Himes (D)- Raised 2.4M to 1M
Dan Debicella (R)
5th
District- Elizabeth
Esty (D)- 2.5M to 1.5M
Mark Greenberg (R)
Connecticut
Overall-
In Connecticut, out of the five congressional district elections all will be
swinging in favor of the Democrats. We noticed Connecticut as primarily being
democratic so it wasn't much of a surprise. In the end we believe only the
Democrats will with the elections.
Colorado
1st
District- Diana DeGette (D)- Raised 918K to 15K and won in 2012
with 68%
Martin Walsh (R)
2nd
District- George Leing (R)
Jared Polis (D)- 1M to 323K
3rd
District- Abel Tapia
(D)
Scott Tipton (R)- Raised 1.2M compared to 252K
4th
District-
Ken Buck (R)- Raised 1.2M to 63K
Vic
Meyers (D)
5th
District-
Doug Lamborn (R)- 554K to 711K, still
favored due to alignment
Irv
Halter (D)
6th
District- Mike Hoffman (R)- analysis below
Andrew Romanoff
(D)
7th
District- Ed Perlmutter (D)- Raised 1.9M to 255K
Don Ytterberg (R)
Colorado
Overall-
For the most part Colorado is split pretty even between Republicans and
Democrats. Put of the seven districts, we decided that four are going in favor
of Republicans and three districts will go in favor of the Democrats. Over all
Colorado is very evenly split but should lean slightly in favor of the
Republicans.
Florida
1st
District-
Jeff Miller (R)- in office since 2001. Raised 522K to
14K
James Bryan (D)
2nd District- Steve
Southerland (R)- analysis below
Gwen Graham (D)
3rd
District- Ted
Yoho (R)- Raised 768K to 66K
Marihelen Wheeler (D)
4th
District-
Ander Crenshaw (R)- Seeking 8th term. Raised 1.1M
Gary Koinz (I)
5th District-
Gloreatha Scurry-Smith (R)
Corrine Brown (D)- In office since
1992. Raised 476K
6th
District- Ran DeSantis (R)- 1M to 36K
David Cox (D)
7th
District- John L.
Mica (R)- First elected in
1992. Raised 2.1M
Wesley Neuman (D)
8th
District-
Bill Posey (R)- Going for 4th term.
Raised 1M compared to 164K
Corry Westbrook (D)
9th
District- Alan
Grayson (D)- Raised 2.7M to
356K
Carol Platt (R)
10th
District- Bill Ferree (D)
Daniel
Webster (R)- Raised 2.2M to 3
11th
District- Richard Nugent (R)- 305K to 57K won by almost 30% 2012
David Koller (D)
12th
District- Gus
Bilirakis (R)- Unopposed
13th
District- David
Jolly (R)-No major party opponent, raised 1.8M
Lucas Overby (L)
14th
District- Kathy Castor (D) – She is unopposed
15th District- Alan Cohn (D)
Dennis Ross (R)- Has raised 1.2M to
377K
16th District- Henry Lawrence (D)
Vern Buchanan (R)- Raised 1.6M to 42K
and won 54% of vote in 2012
17th District- Will Bronson (D)
Thomas Rooney (R)- Raised 547K to 19K,
won 59% of vote in 2012
18th District- Patrick Murphy (D)- Has
raised 4.6M compared to 1.02M, ahead by 9% in polls
Carl
Domino (R)
19th District- April Freeman (D)
Curt Clawson (R)- Raised 4.39M to 95K,
despite last GOP congressman resigning
20th District- Alcee Hastings (D)-
Raised 657K comapred to 26K, won 88% of
vote in 2012
Jay
Bonner (R)
21st District- Ted Devtch (D) –
He is unopposed
22nd District- Lois Frankel (D)-
Raised 1.24M to 126K, won 55% of vote in 2012
Paul
Spain (R)
23rd District- Debbie
Wasserman-Schultz (D)- 5.1M to 711K, won 63% of vote in 2012
Joe
Kaufman (R)
24th District- Fredrica S. Wilson (D)-
Raised 356K to 12K, usually runs unopposed
Dufirstson
Julio Neree (R)
25th District- Mario Diaz-Bacart (R)-
He is unopposed
26th
District- Joe Garcia (D)
Carlos Curbelo (R)- In depth analysis
at end of paper
27th District- Illena Ros-Lehtinen (R)-
She is unopposed
Florida
Overall- Out of the
thirteen districts in Florida the first half of the state’s congressional
districts are leaning in favor of the Republicans. Our group split this state
up to cover more ground on the other elections. But in the first half of the
state we declared that the republicans should take control of the state fairly
easy. Out of the thirteen shown above, we only have two democrats projected to
win their districts election. For the second half
of the districts it is leaning more Democrat, but that is mostly because these
districts are located in more urban districts like Tampa Bay and Miami which
tend to vote Democrat.
Georgia
1st District- Brian Reese (D)
Buddy Carter (R)- Raised 1.5M compared
to 30K
2nd District- Sanford D. Bishop Jr.
(D)- Raised 1.1M compared to 14K, won 69% of election
Greg
Duke (R)
3rd District- Lynn Westmoreland
(R)- He is unopposed
4th District- Hank Johnson Jr. (D)-
He is unopposed
5th District- John Lewis (D)-
He is unopposed
6th District- Robert Montigel (D)
Tom Price (R)- Raised 1.8M to compared
to 10K by opponent
7th District- Thomas Wight (D)
Robert Woodall (R)- Raised 442K compared
to 14K, been there for 22 years
8th District- Austin Scott (R)-
He is unopposed
9th District- David Vogel (D)
Doug Collins (R)- Raised 719K to 21K
and got 76% of vote in 2012
10th District- Ken Dious (D)
Jody Hice (R)- Raised 466K to 32K
11th District- Barry Loudermilk (R)-
He is unopposed
12th
District- John Barrow (D)
Rick Allen (R) - In depth analysis at
end of list
13th District- David Scott (D)-
He is unopposed
14th District- Tom Graves (R)- He
is unopposed
Georgia Overall- Unsurprisingly for a state located
in the deep south, a large majority of the fourteen available congressional
districts are going to be going to Republicans. Most of the rural districts in
Georgia are either going for Republicans unopposed or in a landslide. However,
Democrats still have a firm hold on urban areas, most notably Atlanta and the
surrounding areas, which like most urban areas have always gone Democratic. All
of the races in Georgia are all but decided except for one race in the Georgia
12th where every report calls it a tossup, and we go into detail
below, but there are no shocking upsets set to occur in the state of Georgia on
election day.
Hawaii
1st District- Mark Takai (D)- It’s
Hawaii, Republicans never win.
Charles
Djou (R)
2nd District- Tulsi Gabbard (D)-
Won 77% of vote in last election
Kawika
Crowley (R)
Hawaii Overall- Republicans have never been able to
get a foothold in this state and 2014 will again not be the year to do so.
While Djou did show promise in the early stages Takai has given himself a
comfortable lead now and Gabbard is extremely popular and no Republican has a
chance of unseating her. Thus Hawaii’s congressional elections in 2014 will not
alter any status quo as Democrats will continue to maintain control.
Idaho
1st District- Shirley Ringo (D)
Raul Labrador (R)- 320K to 140K, won
63% of vote in 2012
2nd District- Richard Stallings (D)
Michael K. Simpson (R)- 2.1M to 28K and
won 65% in last election
Idaho Overall- This is another rural state that is
solid in its Republican and conservative convictions. The people of Idaho have
always voted for the people who will go to Washington and back agriculture as
it is the largest part of the Idaho economy, and Republicans have done a better
job at doing that. Thus along with Idaho’s conservative principles Republicans
will remain in power here and for many years to come.
Illinois
1st District- Bobby Rush (D) –
Opponent has no money and has been in office for 22 years
Jimmy
Lee Tillman (R)
2nd District- Robin Kelly (D)-
Has 546K compared to opponents 17K
Eric
Wallace (R)
3rd District- Daniel Lipsinki (D)-
Has 760k compared to opponents 20K
Sharon
Branigan (R)
4th District- Luis Gutierrez (D)-
Been in office 22 years and has 200K compared to 37K
Hector
Concepcion (R)
5th District- Mike Quigley (D)-
Notoriously Dem area, and 676K in funds compared to 0K
Vince
Kolber (R)
6th District- Michael Mason (D)
Peter Roskam (R)- Has won by more than
20% in previous 2 elections
7th District- Danny Davis (D)-
Won 85% of vote in last elections
Robert
Bumpers (R)
8th District- Tammy Duckworth (D)-
Raised 2.4M compared to 240K
Lawrence
Kaifesh (R)
9th District- Janice Schakowsky (D)-
Won 70% of vote in previous elections
David
Earl Williams (R)
10th
District- Brad Schneider (D)- In depth evaluation
at bottom of page
Robert
Dold (R)
11th District- Bill Foster (D)- raised
4.5M compared to 494K
Darlene
Senger (R)
12th
District- William Enyart (D)
Mike Bost (R)- In depth evaluation at
bottom of page
13th District- Ann Calis (D)
Rodney Davis (R)- Winning by 13% in
recent poll and raised 2x as much as opponent
14th District- Dennis Anderson (D)
Randy Hultgren (R)- Raised 604K to 26K,
same cand. in 2012, Hultgren won by 18%
15th District- Eric Thorsland (D)
John Shimkus (R)- raised 1.6M to 11K
and won in 2012 w/ 70% of vote
16th District- Randall Olsen (D)
Adam Kinzinger (R)- Raised 1.3M to 5K,
won in 2012 with 62% of vote
17th District- Cheri Bustos (D)-
Raised 2M to 661K last election, won by 18% last election
Bobby
Schilling (R)
18th District- Daniel Miller (D)
Aaron Schock (R)- Won 74% of vote in
last election
Illinois Overall- Illinois has also been a pretty
easy state to approach when it comes to congressional elections. The districts
located in the northern half of the state (1-12) almost always go Democrat
because of the large urban and liberal populations that reside there. However,
Southern Illinois which is for the most part rural and farm land has mostly
Republican representatives. The interesting aspects of this state comes in the
form of its two tossup elections in the Illinois 10th and 12th,
both are close races because they peg businessman who vote Republican against
lower class people who vote Democrat. The outcome of those races will determine
if the GOP will have any seats near Chicago.
Tossups
Arizona
1st
Incumbent
Ann Kirkpatrick (D) of this district argues she has a better understanding of
the district because she lives within the borders of it, whereas her opponent
Andy Tobin (R) lives right outside the borders, yet it still running. This
district race is also the seventh most expensive race with a total of 6.1M
spent as of October 6th. Tobin, first elected to the chamber in 2006 and
currently severs as speaker. Despite this major toss up, recent polls show
Tobin ahead by about a point off. Its going to come down to the wire, but we
are predicting Tobin will defeat the incumbent and make the 1st congressional
district Republican.
Arizona
2nd
This
district is very unique as it is considered “ roughly one-third Republican,
one-third Democratic, and one-third Independent” (ballotpedia) It is a rematch
from the 2012 election. Martha McSally (R) is taking on Ron Barber (D). The
NRCC has targeted barber as a “vulnerable incumbent” because he only one in
2012 by a slim margin. Despite raising around 3.2M, McSally will need help from
the voters to prove recent polls wrong. As of right now, Incumbent Ron Barber
seems to be staying where he is, but we wouldn't be surprised to McSally steal
the position.
California
7th
Ami Bera is
the current Congressman for the 7th district of California. He will be running in the general election
against Republican Doug Ose. The split
between Democrats and Republicans in this district along with the candidates
nearly even split in money has made this race highly competitive. However, we predict that this race will come
out in the favor of Doug Ose. The
primary election has shown that there is more interest from Republican voters
than Democratic voters in this election.
Ami gained the most total votes at 46.7% but he was the only Democrat
running, whereas the Republicans had three candidates whose votes totaled
51%. Ami also does not have much weight
to throw around as the incumbent; he is a freshman that only won in the last election
by 3 points. Doug Ose, while he will
undoubtedly take all republican votes, he also has appeal as being seen as a
moderate politician. With the country
moving toward the GOP, we see this election moving the same way.
California
26th
The 26th
district’s Congresswoman is currently Julia Brownley, a freshman Democrat. Recently, redistricting has changed this
district from solidly Republican to somewhere in between. The demographic alone signaled that this race
would be competitive, but Brownley’s poor showing of 45.5% in the primary made
it a true toss-up. The extra million she
has on her challenger Jeff Gorell may keep her close but we believe she will
lose. Jeff was just shy of her with
44.5% in the primary and has his fellow Republican’s 7.7% to draw from unlike
Brownley. With the current inability to
mobilize Democratic votes it does not seem as though these numbers will be
shifting much, which is why Jeff Gorell will win.
California
52nd
While this
is a toss-up race, we feel strongly that Republican challenger Carl Demaio will
come out ahead of incumbent Scott Peters.
This is certainly a district that is torn between parties and may lean
Democrat but Peters’ does not appear to have a hold on this seat. In the last election (his first) he skated by
with a 2.5 point advantage and in this current primary he gained only 42.3% as
the only Democrat. Demaio got 35.3% but
the Republicans as a whole gained 58%.
What seals the deal in this case is that Demaio is seeking to be the
first openly gay member of Congress, this fact makes him appear socially
liberal, a quality that is sure to sway many voters.
Colorado 6th
There
is a fairly even split in registered Democratic and Republican voters in tis
district. Mike Coffman (R), who is seeking his fourth term, will face former
Colorado House Speaker Andrew Romanoff (D). This is a very even race. Both men
have raised around the same amount of money. As of late recent poll projections
show Coffman with a 4 point deficit despite still being declared a toss up.
This will be an interesting one to follow, but in the end we believe the
Incumbent should reign supreme.
Florida
2nd
Incumbent
Steve Southerland (R) is seeking re-election to a third term. He faces a heavy
challenger and House Majority PAC, a Democratic super PAC, listed Southerland
as one of their top ten targets. He is facing Gwen Graham (D) daughter former
Florida Governor Bob Graham. Despite going for a third term the Democrats hold
a 21% registration edge over the Republicans, and that is even more interesting
because Southerland, a Republican, is looking for a third term. Does that mean
the Democrats have been voting for Republicans or just not voting at all? In
the end we came to the conclusion that Southerland should pull off the victory
and revive his third term.
Florida 26th
Ever since he was elected in 2012, Joe Garcia (D) has been
listed as one of the most vulnerable candidates of the 2014 midterm and as this
Election Day nears nothing has changed. The race has also been dirty since the
primaries with both candidates arguing about the other’s corruption. Notably,
an argument Carlos Curbelo (R) has used to attack his opponent is how Garcia’s
chief of staff going to prison for three months following being sentenced for
creating fake absentee ballots. Curbelo is clearly more conservative than his
Democratic opponent –who went so far as to call the GOP the Taliban during the
government shutdown. Thus, despite Curbelo’s own shortfalls such as
inexperience and his shady lobbying past, Curbelo is well-funded and extremely
knowledgeable and we believe he will unseat the Democrat, as the Republicans
make gains in the House.
Georgia 12th
The Georgia 12th is a race between six-time
Congressman John Barrow and political newcomer Rick Allen, who has given Barrow
the fight of his career. However, despite massive amounts of Republican money
pouring into negative campaign ads against Barrow, he still holds a slim lead
in the polls. However, as this race has shifted from one leaning Democratic to
one that is a pure toss-up, it is clear that Allen is making gains as the
election draws near. Finally, in a poll released by Rick Allen it shows that
candidates who have some political knowledge of both candidates, he has the
lead. Thus, we believe incumbent Barrow on the heels of his 85% pro-Obama
voting stance, and the failures they have caused in the eyes of many Georgians
will lose in an extremely close race to Rick Allen.
Illinois 10th
This race according to every major pollster and political
report is a pure dead heat. Incumbent Brad Schneider faces a tremendous
campaign from former U.S. Representative Rob Dold, and polls go back and forth
on who has the upper hand in this election. However, more recent polls are
indicating that Schneider still has the advantage but is still slightly inside
the margin of error. Dold’s campaign is playing up the fact that every
Republican is trying to take over the Democratic seat, how Schneider’s
Democratic voting style has hurt the country. Furthermore, Dold’s previous
experience as a representative tells the people of the district he has
experience in the position. However, despite this Schneider still holds a
slight lead, meaning for me his opponent’s attacks and experience has not
swayed enough voters in his favor yet. Thus, along with the fact that his son
is a freshman student here at Muhlenberg, we believe Brad Schneider will hold
onto the office
Illinois 12th
The Illinois 12th has been known as a Democratic
stronghold for generations, but the race between Democratic incumbent Bill
Enyart and Republican Mike Bost is being seeing as one of the most competitive
house races in the country. The reason lies behind the fact that Enyart who was
elected following the senior congressman from the district dropping out for
unknown reasons, does not have the seniority of his opponent of his liberal
ambitions. The fact that he has moderate views instead of liberal views has
made Enyart undesirable among Democrats and he has not received a lot of party
support, meaning Bost, who has conservative views has been given a chance for
success by igniting the Republican base within the district. Thus as polls have
continued to fall in Boss’s favor over the past weeks, we believe he has the
best chance of insuring victory in this election.
Sources:
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