Virtually the Same Congress for Another Two Years

Candidates stated in bold is our predicted winner

Currently running unopposed =  ***  

In order to figure out which candidate we thought would win each congressional seat, we looked at campaign finances, previous voting history, polls taken, and results from previous elections. We got this information by using such resources as BallotPedia, The Wall Street Journal, and Open Secrets.

2014 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. "Balance of Power in 2014." The Wall Street Journal. Last modified

   November 3, 2014. Accessed November 3, 2014. http://graphics.wsj.com/balance-2014/.

The Center for Responsive Politics. "CONGRESSIONAL RACES IN 2014." Open Secrets. Last modified

   November 3, 2014. Accessed November 3, 2014. https://www.opensecrets.org/.

"Main Page." Ballotpedia. January 1, 2014. Accessed October 1, 2014. http://ballotpedia.org/Main_Page.

Indiana

1^st- Peter Visclosky(D) vs Mark Leyva(R) vs Donna Dunn(L)- Visclosky has been in office since 1984, has about $500,000 more than opposing candidate

2^nd- Jackie Walorski(R) vs Joe Bock(D) vs Jeff Petermann(L) - Walorski is the incumbent candidate and has much more money than Bock. This district is a strong Republican district and it doesn’t look like much will change after the election.

3^rd- Marlin Stutzman(R) vs Justin Kuhnle(D) vs Scott Wise(L)- Stutzman won by large margin in 2012, and the Republicans turned out much more voters than the democrats in the primary, so I expect him to win by a large margin again.

4^th- Todd Rokita(R) vs John Dale(D) - Todd Rokita is the incumbent candidate, won by a really large margin in 2012, and has over 1,000,000 cash on hand.

5^th- Susan Brooks(R) vs Shawn Denney(D) vs John Krom(L)- Brooks is the incumbent and has much more cash on hand than her challenger. Many more republicans came out to vote in the primary election than democrats, and I expect to see the same thing in the general.

6^th- Luke Messer(R) vs Susan Heitzman(D) vs Eric Miller(L)- This is traditionally a republican district, and I expect that this election will be no different.

7^th- Andre Carson(D) vs Catherine Ping(R) vs Chris Mayo(L)- Carson has been in office since 2008 and has a strong backing.

8^th- Larry Bucshon(R) vs Tom Spangler(D)- Bucshon is the incumbent candidate in a district that has been consistently rated a “Safe R” district.

9^th- Todd Young(R) vs Bill Bailey(D) - Young has been the incumbent since 2010 and has ample amount of money.

Iowa

1^st- Pat Murphy(D) vs Rod Blum(R)- With a democrat currently the incumbent, and Murphy having much more money than his opponent, Murphy should come out victorious.

2^nd- Dave Loebsack(D) vs Mariannette Miller(R) -Meeks - Loebsack is the incumbent with much more money.

3^rd- Staci Appel(D) vs David Young(R) vs Edward Wright vs Bryan Jack Holder- With the incumbent losing in the primary, it looks as if there is some unhappiness among the Republican Party. Appel has much more money and even though the race is being called as a toss up, the money and break in the Republicans may be the difference.

4^th- Jim Mowrer(D) vs Steve King(R)- Even though King’s challenger is backed by Vice President, Joe Biden, this district is known to vote Republican and it seems as if they will stay with this pattern in November.

Massachusetts

1^st- Richard E Neal (D) vs Frederick Maycock (R)  - Richard Neal is the current incumbent in Massachusetts 1st Districts Congressional Race, he is most well known for opposition to the government shutdown over a year ago. His opponent Frederick Maycock has also dropped out.

2^nd-James P. McGovern (D) - ***

3^rd-Niki Tsongas (D) vs Ann Wolf (R)  - Niki Tsongas he current Congresswomen of Massachusetts 3rd congressional district she is widely believed by many to defeat her opponent Ann Wofford.   

4^th-Joe Kennedy III (D) ***

5^th- Katherine Clark (D) - The current incumbent won her spot in a special election in 2013, she is a strong advocate for women's rights and strongly supports legislation to the 2nd amendment. She is currently running unopposed

6^th -Seth Moulton (D) vs Richard Tisei (R) -  Seth Moulton has defeated John Tierney the current incumbent for Massachusetts 6th district, this is probably known as the states most heated race in which Moulton is only narrowly leading GOP candidate Richard Tisei but will likely win according the a recent poll by the Wall Street journal

7^th-Michael E. Capuano (D) - ***

8^th- Stephen F. Lynch (D) = ***

9^th- William Keating (D) vs John Chapman (R) -  William Keating the current incumbent he is currently leading his opponent Chapman in campaign finances, and is predicted to win Massachusetts 9th easily according to a recent poll in the WSJ over John Chapman

Maine

1^st - Chellie Pingree (D) vs Richard Murphy (R)  - Chellie Pingree the current incumbent she is narrowly holding on  to her  district after voting yes on the Keystone pipeline, and supporting the house budget. However recent polls have shown that she is increasing her leaf over Isac Misiuk the GOP candidate and has began to wrestle support from Independant Richard Murphy.

2^nd -Emily Cain (D) vs Bruce Poliquin (R) - Emily Cain has narrowly won the Democratic nomination for the elections after former incumbent decided to run for governor and will likely win the congressional election.

Kentucky   

1^st -Ed Whitfield  (R) vs Charles Hatchett (D)- Ed Whitfield the current incumbent has recently been in office since 1994, he has been a prominent member of the Republican party has in recent polls been defeating his long time opponent Charles Hatchett

2^nd- Brett Guthrie (R) vs Ron Leach (D)  -  Brett Guthrie the current incumbent of the second district, he is known for a resolution to sue Barack Obama, he is currently leading his opponent Ron Leach in this historically Republican district

3^rd- John A. Yarmuth (D) vs Micheal McFarlane (R) -  John A. Yarmuth the current incumbent of Kentucky's 3rd congressional district and has passed over 11 bills promoting tax increases. Currently this race is starting to edge in his favor and is likely to win over Michael McFarlin.

4^th  -Thomas Massie (R) - ***

5^th-  Hal Rogers (R) vs Ken Stepp (D)- Hal Rogers is not only the incumbent but the heavy favorite and is expected to win come November, over his opponent Ken Stepp.

6^th-  Andy Barr (R) vs Elisabeth Jensen (D) -   Andy Barrthe incumbent has started to pull away in the current elections, he is considered right of center, but was in favor of the recent government shutdown and has a large lead over Democrat Elisabeth Jensen

Kansas

1^st - Tim Huelskamp (R)  vs Jim Sherow (D) - Tim Huelskamp is the Current incumbent and heavy favorite to win the race, he has passed over 26 international trade bills in his current term in the house.  

2^nd - Lynn Jenkins (R) vs Maggie Wakefield (D)  - Lynn Jenkins the current incumbent, the former senator has served in the house since 2011, and has worked on tax related bills and is considered to have a safe lead over her opponents.

3^rd -Kevin Yoder (R) vs Kelly Kultala (D) - Kevin Yonder has taken a drastic lead over Kelly Kultala, he has voted on several bills that would increase military spending.

4th - Mike Pompeo (R) vs Kerry Schukman ( D) -Mike Pompeo  was first elected in 2010 is considered has this race under his belt and is considered to win.

Maryland

1^st- Andy Harris (R) vs Bill Tilighman - Harris has a slight lead over his opponent Bill Tilghman, but has almost triple the funding and is expected to win this race generously.

2^nd - Dave Banach (R) - Has drastically increased his lead and funding throughout the election and is considered an easy favorite.

3^rd  - John Sarbanes (D) vs Charles Long (R)- This historically democratic district will remain democratic as John Sarbanes is expected to win by a larger percentage come november.  

4^th - Donna Edwards (D) vs Nancy Hoyt (R) - Has the vast majority of funding but has been given a run for her money by Nancy Hoyt. Edwards is still expected to win in November.

5^th- Steny H. Hoyer (D) vs Chris Chafferre- The long time congressmen and heavy favorite is expected to return to the house as he has not only out funded his opponents he has also out campaigned them according to Opensecrets.

6^th- John K. Delaney (D) vs Dan Bongino (R) - In one of the tighter races Delaney has a marginal lead of his opponent Dan Bongino, but they have spent the same amount and in recent months Bongino has gained significant ground on Delaney, but is expected to fall significantly short.

7^th- Elijah E. Cummings (D) ***

8^th- Chris Van Hollen (D) ***

Minnesota

1^st- Tim Walz(D) vs Jim Hagedorn(R) – Walz is an incumbent with much more money in a traditionally democratic district.

2^nd- Mike Obermueller(D) vs John Kline(R) vs Paula Overby- Kline has been the incumbent since 2002  and he has lots of money

3^rd- Sharon Sud(D) vs Erik Paulsen(R)- Paulsen has been the incumbent since 2008, and has the most money in the state.

4^th- Betty McCollum(D) vs Sharna Wahlgren(R) vs Dave Thomas- Betty McCollum has been the incumbent since she won the Democratic stronghold in 2000.

5^th- Keith Ellison(D) vs Doug Daggett(R) vs Lee Bauer- Ellison has bee the incumbent since 2006 in this “safe D” area. He is backed with lots of money.

6^th- Tom Emmer(D) vs Joe Perske(R) vs John Denney- If this district continually voted Michelle Bachman back into office, they are going to enough of a Republican stronghold to elect her Republican predecessor, Emmer.

7^th- Collin Peterson(D) vs Torrey Westrom(R)- Peterson has been in office since 1990 and it doesn’t look like things are going to go differently for him.

8^th- Rick Nolan(D) vs Stewart Mills(R) vs Ray Sandman-In a toss up election, Nolan has spent more money and raised almost as much as the incumbent. With a Green Party candidate running as well, I am predicting that this will take votes away from the Democratic candidate, which could be the deciding factor.

Mississippi

1^st- Ron Dickey(D) vs Alan Nunnelee(R) vs Danny Bedwell vs Lajena Walley – Nulley has been the incumbent since 2008 and according to the polls, is supposed to be extremely safe as he stands.

2^nd- Bennie Thompson(D) vs Shelley Shoemake(R) vs Troy Ray- Thompson is a long-standing incumbent with no Republican challenger.

3^rd- Doug Magee(D) vs Gregg Harper(R) vs Barbara Dale Washer vs Roger Gerrard – Harper has been the incumbent since 2009, and with more Republicans coming out to vote in the primary than the democrats, I expect the same for the general in this solid Republican district.

4^th- Matt Moore(D) vs Steven Palazzo(R) vs Joey Robinson vs Sarge Jackson vs Cindy Burleson vs Ed Reich- Palazzo is the incumbent, who had a tough primary in a strong Republican district, so he should see no trouble in the general.

Missouri

1^st- William Lacy Clay(D) vs Daniel Elder(R) vs Robb E. Cunningham(L)- Clay has been an incumbent since 2000 in a Democratic stronghold, with more money. This election looks to be no different than past ones.

2^nd- Arthur Lieber(D) vs Ann Wagner(D) - Incumbent with much more money (about $2 million)

3^rd-Courtney Denton(D) vs Blaine Luetkemeyer(R) vs Steven Hedrick(L) vs Harold Davis(I)- Blaine is the incumbent who received many more votes in the Missouri’s open primary.

4^th- Vicky Hartzler(R) vs Nate Irvin(D) vs Herschel Young(L)- Vicky has been the incumbent since 2010 in a Republican stronghold.

5^th- Emanuel Cleaver(D) vs Jacob Turk(R) vs Roy Welborn(L)- After a tough primary, Cleaver should have no problem in the general election as he received many more votes than his challenger during the open primary.

6^th- Sam Graves(R) vs Bill Hedge(D) vs Russ Monchill(L)- Graves has been the incumbent since 2000, and had no problem in the open primary. He received many more votes than both challengers.

7^th- Billy Long(R) vs Jim Evans(D) vs Kevin Craig(L)- Long has been the incumbent since 2000, and had a good voter turnout during the primary elections.

8^th- Jason Smith(R) vs Barbara Stocker(D) vs Rick Vandeven(L) vs Doug Enyart(C) vs Terry Hampton(I)- Even though he was just recently elected in 2013, Smith should still pull off the win as he has tons more money and is running in a known Republican stronghold.

Montana

1^st- John Lewis(D) vs Ryan Zinke(R) vs Mike Fellows(L)- A Democrat has not been elected in Montana since 1997, and it looks like this election will be the same.