Friday, September 12, 2014

We Should Follow the Money, but Will We?

As President Obama explained his plan of action regarding ISIL to the America public, it became readily apparent that the United States’ problem with the terrorist group was much larger than the general populous realized, so much so that there are now growing concerns and debate about exactly how involved the US army needs to be, rather than assuming we would steer clear of the conflict, like many hoped we would.  Now, it is clear that, regardless of how war wary our nation has become, the US will be intervening, and that the door to conflict, past the air strikes that are already occurring, is left open. Since it is all but certain that America is going to play a role in this conflict, the question becomes about how, rather than if, we partake in it.

In his article, To Defeat the Islamic State, Follow the Money, Howard J. Shatz explores the financial side of ISIL, and begins to explain how, in his opinion, the way to defeat ISIL comes from their relatively easy to disrupt income and payment systems. Essentially, as the vast majority of ISIL’s income is a result of oil and oil smuggling, Shatz implies that bombing the ISIL oil tankers is an easy way to start to constrict their funds. This is logical, and relatively practical, as the US is already flying the drones necessary over head, so it goes hand in hand with the current US strategy of restricting our involvement to fighting from above. However, where Shatz begins to stray is in the other part of his observation. Shatz notes that the majority of ISIL expenses go to paying its members, both for the member and for each of his dependents, and that should a member be captured or killed, the payments are to continue to the members dependent. He goes on to state “if enough members are captured and killed, however, these costs start to mount.” This seems to be insinuating that Shatz believes we should enter combat on the ground with the sole purpose of killing and capturing as many ISIL members as possible, with the goal of financially strangling the group.

From a logical, and monetary standpoint, this seems to be a strategy that would prove largely effective, the group, though financially strong now, would not be able to handle the financial constraint of an attack on their income and an increased fiscal responsibility should the amount of killed and captured payouts increase exponentially. However, logic is not going to be enough to get his plan into action. As a nation that is, frankly, sick and tired of war, it would take overwhelming support of those in power to convince the public that more fighting is necessary, and maybe in a different case, Congress would rise up, accept that challenge, and will the people to support the cause, and to crush the threat. But, that is not going happen now. Ultimately, in a year where so many seats are up for re-election, no Congressman in his right mind is going to stick his neck out and risk losing the support he needs to keep his seat. Theoretically, of course, those in Congress could wait until after the elections to make their voices heard, but that will be too late, the time for action will have passed. Ultimately, that this threat is coming now makes for a state of turbulence and indecision that will most likely lead to inaction, presumably prolonging a conflict that could end rather quickly, assuming logical course of action is followed, and that those in Congress stick their necks out and try to get the people to rally behind them, but because of the nature of the elections, and their fear to lose their seats, it seems more likely than not that we sit idly, when an apparently clear solution is right in font of us.


Shatz, Howard J. “To Defeat the Islamic State, Follow the Money” Politco.com.

September 10, 2014. Accessed September 10, 2014

No comments:

Post a Comment